Bets Are On: Met Body Says 70% Chance For El Niño This Winter

The World Meteorological Organisation says that there's a 70% possibility of a repeat of the El Niño weather event before the end of 2018. 
The previous El Niño happened in in 2015-16 and affected weather trends across the globe.


The Met Organization scientists expect this new El Niño to be less intense compared to the previous one.

The scientists attribute the shift in weather dynamics to climate change. As a result, old patterns no longer stick to script when it comes to the weather.

The El Niño/Southern Oscillation, in full, is a weather event that is a result of varying ocean surface temperatures in the Pacific, which affects the weather all over the globe.

The 2015-16 El Niño

The 2015-16 El Niño was one of the strongest ever recorded, contributing to making 2016 one of the hottest years ever recorded in world history.

In addition to high temperatures, the El Niño caused drought in Africa that plummeted food production across the continent. Furthermore, a period of floods in Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay and, Paraguay was also linked to the event.

WMO Models

According to the predictions of WMO models, a 70% probability exists of another El Niño this year.

WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas says, "WMO does not expect the anticipated El Niño to be as powerful as the 2015-2016 event, but it will still have considerable impacts."

Normally, El Niño events happen every five to seven years, which means the successive event is an indication of the effect of climate change. Further reports by BBC.

READ: Hurricanes Florence, Isaac And Helene Churn In The Atlantic As Hurricane Season Intensifies

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